Utah vs California 10/22/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Utah winning 56% of simulations, and California 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Utah commits fewer turnovers in 33% of simulations and they go on to win 72% when they take care of the ball. California wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. John White is averaging 120 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. Isi Sofele is averaging 64 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CAL -1.5 --- Over/Under line is 46

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